Economia americana
economia americana.
{“@context”: “https://schema.org”, “@type”: “NewsArticle”, “headline”: “How to Neutralize the Use of the Doctrine of Unpredictability and the Madman Theory in the Americas?”, “description”: “{“@context”: “https://schema.org”, “@type”: “NewsArticle”, “headline”: “How to Neutralize the…”, “image”: “https://bomdiaamericablog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/134.png”, “datePublished”: “2025-12-13T12:26:29”, “dateModified”: “2025-12-21T23:36:06”, “author”: {“@type”: “Person”, “name”: “Antonio Carlos Faustino”}, “publisher”: {“@type”: “Organization”, “name”: “Bom Dia América Blog”, “logo”: {“@type”: “ImageObject”, “url”: “https://bomdiaamericablog.com/logo.png”}}, “mainEntityOfPage”: {“@type”: “WebPage”, “@id”: “https://bomdiaamericablog.com/how-to-neutralize-the-use-of-the-doctrine-of-unpredictability-and-the-madman-theory-in-the-americas/”}}
{“@context”: “https://schema.org”, “@type”: “NewsArticle”, “headline”: “How to Neutralize the Use of the Doctrine of Unpredictability and the Madman Theory in the Americas?”, “description”: “The geopolitical landscape in the Americas has increasingly been shaped by the Doctrine of Unpredictability and the Madman Theory, both […]”, “image”: “https://bomdiaamericablog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/134.png”, “datePublished”: “2025-12-13T12:26:29”, “dateModified”: “2025-12-21T23:14:14”, “author”: {“@type”: “Person”, “name”: “Antonio Carlos Faustino”}, “publisher”: {“@type”: “Organization”, “name”: “Bom Dia América Blog”, “logo”: {“@type”: “ImageObject”, “url”: “https://bomdiaamericablog.com/logo.png”}}, “mainEntityOfPage”: {“@type”: “WebPage”, “@id”: “https://bomdiaamericablog.com/how-to-neutralize-the-use-of-the-doctrine-of-unpredictability-and-the-madman-theory-in-the-americas/”}}
{“@context”: “https://schema.org”, “@type”: “NewsArticle”, “headline”: “How to Neutralize the Use of the Doctrine of Unpredictability and the Madman Theory in the Americas?”, “description”: “The geopolitical landscape in the Americas has increasingly been shaped by the Doctrine of Unpredictability and the Madman Theory, both […]”, “image”: “https://bomdiaamericablog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/134.png”, “datePublished”: “2025-12-13T12:26:29”, “dateModified”: “2025-12-13T12:26:39”, “author”: {“@type”: “Person”, “name”: “Antonio Carlos Faustino”}, “publisher”: {“@type”: “Organization”, “name”: “Bom Dia América Blog”, “logo”: {“@type”: “ImageObject”, “url”: “https://bomdiaamericablog.com/logo.png”}}, “mainEntityOfPage”: {“@type”: “WebPage”, “@id”: “https://bomdiaamericablog.com/how-to-neutralize-the-use-of-the-doctrine-of-unpredictability-and-the-madman-theory-in-the-americas/”}}
The geopolitical landscape in the Americas has increasingly been shaped by the Doctrine of Unpredictability and the Madman Theory, both of which have been employed to justify unilateral actions and contractual breaches, affecting institutional predictability and regional stability. These doctrines, while legitimate in extreme situations, have seen misuse by political and economic leaders, raising concerns about their impact on governance in the Americas.
The Doctrine of Unpredictability, often referred to in legal terms as the “theory of unforeseeability,” allows for the revision or termination of contractual obligations due to extraordinary and unforeseen events. However, its misuse can lead to significant legal uncertainty, deterring investment and economic stability in the region.
The Madman Theory, popularized by former U.S. President Richard Nixon, involves acting unpredictably to destabilize adversaries and gain strategic advantages. This strategy, when employed by populist leaders, can result in diplomatic and economic fallout. As Henry Kissinger noted, while unpredictability can serve as a deterrent, its overuse erodes international trust.
(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});
In recent years, leaders in countries such as the United States, El Salvador, and Venezuela have been associated with strategies that blend unpredictability with authoritarian tendencies to consolidate power or secure international concessions. This has extended into the legal domain, where governments invoke the doctrine of unpredictability to unilaterally suspend contracts, particularly in critical sectors like energy and infrastructure, thus discouraging foreign investment.
The consequences for regional stability are significant, with legal uncertainty driving away investors, institutional crises eroding trust, and authoritarian populism undermining democratic frameworks. According to the Inter-American Development Bank (2023), such legal instability is a primary factor in reduced economic competitiveness across Latin America.
Neutralizing the misuse of these strategies requires a multifaceted approach:
Neutralize – Perspectiva 1
(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});
a) Strengthening Democratic Institutions: Reinforcing independent institutions like the judiciary and audit courts can limit arbitrary decision-making and enhance accountability.
b) Creating Anti-Populism Clauses in Regional Agreements: Multilateral agreements such as Mercosur and USMCA should incorporate mechanisms to penalize the systematic violation of rules under vague justifications of unpredictability.
c) Enhancing Government Transparency: The use of technologies like blockchain for public contract registration can improve traceability and curtail the misuse of crises as pretexts for unilateral changes.
(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});
Neutralize – Perspectiva 2
d) Engaging Media and Civil Society: Information campaigns and robust civic engagement are crucial in exposing abuses masked by these doctrines. Transparency International highlights that nations with active citizen participation are less prone to unpredictable governance.
e) Leveraging Big Tech and Legal Startups: Platforms such as JusBrasil and LegalHub can monitor legislative changes, offering real-time alerts on contractual risks and populist trends, thereby informing investors and the public.
Countries like Chile and Costa Rica provide examples of effective management amid crises. Following the 2019 crisis, Chile embarked on a constitutional restructuring with broad public engagement, enhancing democratic resilience. Costa Rica maintains institutional stability and transparency, even during economic downturns, serving as a model for other nations in the region.
(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});
Livros sobre as Américas | Mapas e Atlas Geopolíticos | História da América Latina
KISSINGER, Henry. Diplomacy. 1st ed. Rio de Janeiro: Objetiva, 1995.
INTER-AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK. Economic Report 2023: Stability and Growth in Latin America. Washington, DC, 2023. Available at: https://www.iadb.org. Accessed: July 7, 2025.
Neutralize – Perspectiva 3
(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});
TRANSPARENCY INTERNATIONAL. Corruption Perceptions Index 2023. Berlin, 2023. Available at: https://www.transparency.org/en/cpi/2023. Accessed: July 7, 2025.
NIXON, Richard. RN: The Memoirs of Richard Nixon. New York: Simon & Schuster, 1978.
PEREIRA, Caio Mário da Silva. Institutions of Civil Law. 23rd ed. Rio de Janeiro: Forense, 2020.
(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});
Apoie o Bom Dia América Blog
Sua contribuição nos ajuda a continuar trazendo análises profundas sobre as Américas.
Contribuir Agora
Apoie o Bom Dia América Blog
Sua contribuição nos ajuda a continuar trazendo análises profundas sobre as Américas.
Contribuir Agora economia americana.
Apoie o Bom Dia América Blog
Sua contribuição nos ajuda a continuar trazendo análises profundas sobre as Américas.
Contribuir Agora economia americana.
Apoie o Bom Dia América Blog
Sua contribuição nos ajuda a continuar trazendo análises profundas sobre as Américas. economia americana.
Gostou do nosso conteúdo? Considere apoiar o Bom Dia América Blog para que possamos continuar trazendo análises e notícias relevantes sobre as Américas.