Geopolítica das americas
geopolítica das americas.
Continente americano
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¿Nueva Alianza Militar SACUDE Sudamérica?
A geopolitical earthquake shakes South America. Rumors and discussions about a possible military alliance between the main powers of the region, Brazil and Argentina, gain strength, raising alarms in Washington and other global capitals. Could this be the end of U.S. hegemony in the continent? A new era of strategic autonomy? Or a prelude to even greater regional tensions? Find out below what is happening and what the possible consequences of this radical change in the South American scenario are. South American continent. geopolítica das americas.
Context/Current Situation: Seeking Strategic Autonomy
South America, historically seen as the “backyard” of the United States, has shown a growing desire for greater autonomy in its internal and external policies. This desire is manifested in various areas, from trade agreements to seeking defense partnerships. The idea of a military alliance between Brazil and Argentina, although still in its early stages, represents a milestone in this quest for autonomy, challenging the status quo established decades ago. South American continent. geopolítica das americas.
Several factors contribute to this new reality. Firstly, the growing global multipolarism, with the emergence of powers like China and Russia, offers alternatives to the traditional influence of the U.S. Secondly, political and social instability in several countries in the region, along with the increasing transnational crime, drive the need to strengthen regional security through internal mechanisms. South American continent. geopolítica das americas.
Experts point out that the gradual decrease in U.S. influence in the region, evidenced by less engagement in South American affairs and a greater focus on other global priorities, creates a void that countries like Brazil and Argentina seek to fill. However, this change does not occur without resistance and raises concerns about regional stability and the future of relations with the United States. South American continent. geopolítica das americas.
In-Depth Analysis: Data and Implications of the New Alliance
The formation of a military alliance between Brazil and Argentina would have a significant impact on the regional balance of power. Together, the two countries represent approximately **63% of South America’s GDP** and have the largest armed forces in the region. According to data from the *Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)*, in 2023, Brazil was the country that invested the most in defense in South America, totaling **US$ 22.9 billion**. Argentina, on the other hand, invested **US$ 4.2 billion** in the same period. South American continent. geopolítica das americas.
The combined forces of the two countries could result in greater deterrence capability and a more effective response to threats such as transnational organized crime, terrorism, and piracy. Additionally, the alliance could strengthen the regional defense industry, promoting research and development of new technologies and reducing dependence on external suppliers. But, could this alliance ensure regional stability or only create new lines of tension? South American continent. geopolítica das americas.
Despite the potential benefits, the formation of the alliance also faces significant challenges. Political and ideological divergences between the two countries, as well as different defense priorities, may hinder the coordination and implementation of common policies. Competition for influence in the region could also generate frictions and undermine mutual trust. “The key to the success of the alliance lies in Brazil and Argentina’s ability to overcome their differences and build a shared strategic vision,” says Argentine political analyst Juan Pérez. South American continent.
Data from the *World Bank* shows that the combined military spending of Brazil and Argentina represents only **1.4% of the combined GDP**, a relatively low value compared to other regions of the world. The military alliance could drive an increase in this percentage, raising concerns about a possible arms race in the region. But, would this increase be justifiable given the growing threats to regional security? South American continent.
A study by the *Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV)* indicates that defense cooperation between Brazil and Argentina has intensified in recent years, with joint military exercises and intelligence information exchange. However, the lack of a legal and institutional framework
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